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Goodness of Fit and Contingency Tables

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  Edexcel IAL Statistics 3 (WST03)

Goodness of Fit and Contingency Tables

The big idea: χ² measures how far observed frequencies sit from those a model predicts; the degrees of freedom count how many frequencies are free to vary.

Summary — What This Chapter Covers
  • χ² = Σ(O − E)2/E.
  • Combine cells with expected frequency below 5.
  • Goodness of fit: ν = number of cells − 1 − number of estimated parameters.
  • Contingency table: ν = (r − 1)(c − 1); E = row total × column total / grand total.
1. Goodness-of-Fit Tests
Goodness of fit

Does the model fit?

H₀: the model fits. Compute expected frequencies from the model, combine small cells, find χ², compare with the critical value.

2. Contingency Tables
Independence

Are two factors associated?

H₀: the factors are independent. For a 2 × 2 table, ν = 1 and the 5% critical value is 3.841.

Memorise
Statistic

Σ(O − E)²/E

Small E

Combine below 5

Goodness of fit
Contingency
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